Aryna Sabalenka vs Carson Branstine Head-to-Head Stats, Results & Performance Comparison

• Question: Which player has a better recent second serve performance? Answer: Branstine, with a 41.1% success rate compared to Sabalenka's 39.66%.
• Sabalenka has a slight advantage in returning second serves, winning 49.3% versus Branstine's 48.46%.
• Branstine excels in returning first serves, achieving a 34.11% win rate as opposed to Sabalenka's 30.2%.
• Sabalenka has demonstrated better breakpoint savings, maintaining a 53.06% success rate, while Branstine's rate is 51.13%.
• Over the past year, Sabalenka has an impressive match win rate of 83.95%, overshadowing Branstine's 61.29%.
• Sabalenka's best surface is Hard courts with a 74% win rate, while Branstine excels on Grass with a 75% win rate.
• Sabalenka often competes at the Masters level, winning 82.61% of these matches, whereas Branstine mainly participates in Challengers/ITF, winning 60.78%.
• Question: Who faces stronger competition? Answer: Sabalenka, with opponents averaging a rank of 39.37 compared to Branstine's average opponent rank of 308.52.
• If a match reaches a deciding set, Sabalenka has a better win rate of 61% compared to Branstine's 50%.
• Branstine is more effective in break point conversion, achieving 44.08%, while Sabalenka has a rate of 35.14%.

Editorial Prediction (June 28, 2025, UTC):

Analyzing the data reveals Sabalenka's strong overall match performance, notably with a win rate of 83.95% over the past year, indicating her high competence at a superior level of competition.

Sabalenka has a slightly better ability to win points when returning serves, and while her break point conversion is lower than Branstine's, her tendency to prevail in deciding sets suggests resilience under pressure.

Branstine's strengths in second serve performance and first serve returns are noteworthy; however, her experience against lower-ranked opponents and fewer high-tier matchups potentially leaves her at a disadvantage.

Given Sabalenka's track record against higher-ranked opponents and her success on the Masters circuit, she is the more likely victor in their upcoming encounter.